Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.918533e-02 0.031925 0.034630 0.037497 0.040444 0.043381 0.046523
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.371043e-02 0.028128 0.032606 0.037458 0.042545 0.047700 0.053300
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.022073e-02 0.025774 0.031529 0.037875 0.044623 0.051543 0.059135
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.669965e-02 0.022988 0.029653 0.037126 0.045176 0.053514 0.062739
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.425647e-02 0.021132 0.028573 0.037035 0.046249 0.055870 0.066581
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.201256e-02 0.019306 0.027373 0.036678 0.046911 0.057672 0.069722
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.955591e-03 0.017529 0.026106 0.036138 0.047278 0.059073 0.072348
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.653027e-03 0.015271 0.024165 0.034746 0.046624 0.059295 0.073636
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.876310e-03 0.014823 0.024269 0.035611 0.048416 0.062129 0.077691
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.771986e-03 0.013863 0.023711 0.035673 0.049275 0.063907 0.080569
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.352121e-03 0.012344 0.022410 0.034827 0.049071 0.064484 0.082104
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.585545e-03 0.011646 0.022064 0.035053 0.050043 0.066323 0.084984
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.467236e-03 0.010395 0.021110 0.034698 0.050523 0.067806 0.087691
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.521791e-03 0.009243 0.020259 0.034480 0.051194 0.069548 0.090744
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.317569e-04 0.008530 0.019927 0.034853 0.052521 0.072001 0.094558
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.560647e-04 0.007232 0.018727 0.034121 0.052531 0.072950 0.096684
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.209517e-07 0.006395 0.018087 0.034032 0.053256 0.074669 0.099631
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005487 0.017273 0.033685 0.053646 0.075986 0.102107
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004565 0.016352 0.033162 0.053798 0.077008 0.104228
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003347 0.014832 0.031812 0.052932 0.076844 0.105003
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003192 0.015011 0.032650 0.054660 0.079619 0.109040
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002724 0.014614 0.032711 0.055440 0.081297 0.111836
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001961 0.013579 0.031890 0.055135 0.081715 0.113202